Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.554504 1.635794 1.719706 1.812953 1.913867 2.019988 2.140293
2026-02-08 1.375383 1.488161 1.609509 1.750419 1.910342 2.087156 2.298753
2026-02-15 1.262955 1.395567 1.542861 1.719898 1.928669 2.169273 2.470861
2026-02-22 1.189172 1.336721 1.504937 1.713050 1.966655 2.269768 2.665921
2026-03-01 1.121358 1.277901 1.460173 1.691094 1.980323 2.336934 2.820361
2026-03-08 1.044051 1.202063 1.388985 1.630121 1.938626 2.328421 2.872570
2026-03-15 1.002581 1.166441 1.363455 1.622423 1.961212 2.400583 3.033814
2026-03-22 0.990507 1.165497 1.379645 1.667013 2.052442 2.567335 3.337386
2026-03-29 0.961399 1.141344 1.364657 1.669318 2.086276 2.657054 3.537663
2026-04-05 0.938687 1.123896 1.356852 1.679810 2.130671 2.763062 3.770075
2026-04-12 0.911603 1.099422 1.338398 1.674338 2.151538 2.835484 3.956152
2026-04-19 0.882008 1.070360 1.312401 1.656770 2.153430 2.879002 4.098826
2026-04-26 0.845270 1.032317 1.275136 1.624938 2.137495 2.901553 4.221981
2026-05-03 0.803967 0.987045 1.226725 1.575613 2.093702 2.879391 4.269963
2026-05-10 0.774211 0.956153 1.196624 1.550825 2.084923 2.911188 4.415211
2026-05-17 0.753278 0.936295 1.180709 1.545423 2.104787 2.989703 4.652985
2026-05-24 0.729371 0.911442 1.156711 1.526720 2.102450 3.030940 4.825816
2026-05-31 0.695967 0.872452 1.111422 1.474283 2.043794 2.973000 4.800454
2026-06-07 0.679196 0.855902 1.097225 1.467665 2.057593 3.039313 5.028129
2026-06-14 0.677374 0.859992 1.112447 1.506088 2.146367 3.243366 5.567250
2026-06-21 0.664726 0.848353 1.104391 1.508075 2.174721 3.341350 5.896285
2026-06-28 0.654819 0.840231 1.101066 1.517104 2.215211 3.464811 6.302287
2026-07-05 0.641567 0.826880 1.089489 1.512396 2.231556 3.543661 6.617492